I’m not a data geek like Nate Silver. Look at his little joke, a play on the Romney campaign’s (purloined) slogan ‘Clear eyes, full heart, can’t lose.’
Clear algorithms. Full spreadsheets. 91% chance of winning.
— Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) November 9, 2012
Anyway, so I’m not a data genius, nor do I pretend to be one. I’m an enthusiast, a dilettante. But even I can see the Republican Party has a problem:
This visualisation from a Slate article by Tom Scocca: Eighty-Eight Percent of Romney Voters Were White — The GOP candidate’s race-based, monochromatic campaign made him a loser issues a challenge for the GOP to get relevant. And quick.
The Southern White constituency (conspiracy?) we’ve talked about here before appears to be seen as racist and sexist and homophobic. Fiscal conservatism and social conservatism are not the same thing.
Unlike some, I don’t have the energy or interest in pulling together wrong-headed predictions and gloating over their humiliation. (Not even those of Karl Rove, Dick Morris and Donald Trump.)
I’m sure the Republicans will take lessons out of this defeat and regroup.
It seems to me a ‘more of the same, only harder, faster’ approach won’t work.
This article by Nate Silver writing in his fivethirtyeight blog at the NY Times is worth a read: